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Original article by Jakub Krupa
… and on that note, it’s a wrap for today!
Nato secretary general Mark Rutte has warned that Russia’s president Putin “is trying to break the people of Ukraine, hoping to weaken their resolve,” but he drew on his last week’s visit to the country saying that “they have show time and again they will not be broken” (15:07, 15:18, 15:21).
His comments come after Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelenskyy cautioned that “as long as Russia continues to kill people and destroy our infrastructure, there will not be sufficient public trust in active diplomacy” (13:43), amid reports of US putting pressure on Kyiv to end the war (10:17) despite continued Russian attacks.
The trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia talks are expected to continue next week, Zelenskyy said (14:28).
Key talks on European security are expected to be continued at the Munich Security Conference over the weekend, which we will report live here, on Europe Live.
Separately, Nato announced that its Arctic Sentry mission to strengthen the alliance’s presence and the regional security in the Arctic has now formally begun (13:11), seemingly in large part in response to Donald Trump’s recent complaints about the region’s security as he discussed his intention of acquiring Greenland (15:11, 15:24, 15:35).
Meanwhile,
European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen insisted this morning that the EU needs to “tear down” the economic barriers that prevent it from becoming “a global giant” and deepen its internal market, as she kicked off 48 hours of intensive discussions on the bloc’s economy (9:51).
Germany’s Friedrich Merz and Italy’s Giorgia Meloni emerged as leaders of a group of countries pushing for rapid reforms of the EU to increase the bloc’s competitiveness ahead of tomorrow’s crunch summit in Belgium (12:01).
The commission has also outlined its plan to counter drone threats after months of disruptions caused by drones and meteorological balloons affecting major airports across the EU (11:38).
Speaking of which, major disruptions loom in German air traffic on Thursday after calls by two unions for strikes by Lufthansa pilots and cabin crew (12:52).
And that’s all from me, Jakub Krupa, for today.
If you have any tips, comments or suggestions, email me at jakub.krupa@theguardian.com.
I am also on Bluesky at @jakubkrupa.bsky.social and on X at @jakubkrupa.
in Madrid
On a lighter note, faced with a steeply declining number of church weddings, Spanish bishops have turned their eye to the virtual realm in the hope that a new video game will help entice more couples to the altar.
According to the most recent figures, less than 18% of all weddings in Spain in 2024 – 31,462 out of 175,364 – took place in church. The numbers are dramatically down from 2007 when more than 55% of weddings happened in a Roman Catholic church.
The dwindling numbers, coupled with high divorce rates, have led the church to launch a number of initiatives in recent years designed to safeguard and promote the sacrament of marriage.
Its latest campaign uses a video game, Level Up! A Two-player Game, to try to explore and explain the qualities on which marriage depends.
The retro game, whose slogan is “El amor, la aventura más épica” (Love is the most epic adventure), features a young couple, Fran and Elena, going about their daily tasks and earning prizes as they learn about the importance of patience, generosity, modesty, integrity and empathy.
The idea of the game is to provide players with real-life situations “such as problems at work, a stag do at a resort, a relationship with an ex-girlfriend” as they reflect on marriage. It is being rolled out in time for Valentine’s Day.
“The campaign is also proactive, aiming to showcase the beauty of Christian marriage,” the Spanish bishops’ conference said in a statement. “It’s not primarily aimed at those already committed, but rather seeks to encourage couples who desire a stable commitment to consider a church wedding.”
The idea was suggested by students at the Pontifical University of Salamanca and developed by a professional video game designer.
A Dutch court has ordered an investigation into mismanagement at chipmaker Nexperia which was plunged into a highly politicised row with China last October that nearly saw car production around the world come to a halt.
The firm, based in the Netherlands but whose parent company is China’s Wingtech, has been the subject of a standoff between Beijing and the West, ever since the Dutch government took supervisory control of the company in a move that sent shock waves across Europe, among political and industry leaders.
“(The court) finds that there are valid reasons to doubt the sound policy and conduct of business at Nexperia and orders an investigation,” said the Amsterdam-based Enterprise Chamber in a statement.
The investigation is expected to take months.
It also upheld an October decision to suspend former CEO Zhang Xuezheng, the founder of Nexperia’s Chinese parent Wingtech, saying the company needs stability.
The decision leaves control of the company in the hands of the European team that has overseen it since a Dutch state intervention which led to a conflict that has disrupted automotive industry supply lines around the world.
A spokesperson for the Chinese parent firm said: “Wingtech regrets that the Court has not fully restored our shareholder rights by its decision, and instead kept previous extraordinary interim measures in place pending further inquiry.
“Wingtech has always been confident that a full, fair and impartial inquiry will demonstrate that the actions taken by the shareholder were appropriate and in the best interests of the company and its stakeholders,” they added.
In other news, as Donald Trump redoubled his war of words on the European Union and Nato in recent weeks, a senior state department official, Sarah B Rogers, was publicly attacking policies on hate speech and immigration by ostensible US allies, and promoting far-right parties abroad.
Rogers has arguably become the public face of the Trump administration’s growing hostility to European liberal democracies. Since assuming office in October, she has met with far-right European politicians, criticized prosecutions under longstanding hate speech laws, and boasted online of sanctions against critics of hate speech and disinformation on US big tech platforms.
Rogers is undersecretary of state for public diplomacy, a top-10 state department role that was created in 1999 to strengthen relationships between the US and foreign publics, as opposed to foreign governments and diplomats.
Rogers, however, appears to be concerned with winning over a particular slice of foreign public opinion.
Her recent posts on Twitter/X have included a characterization of some migrants in Germany as “barbarian rapist hordes”, a comment on Sweden apparently linking sexual violence to immigration policy (“If your government cared about ‘women’s safety,’ it would have a different migration policy”), and the recitation of the view that “advocates of unlimited third world immigration have long controlled a disproportionate share of official knowledge production”.
Expert observers of the European far right said that commentary such as Rogers’s reflected a Trump administration decision to support those movements.
Léonie de Jonge, professor of research on far-right extremism at the University of Tübingen who has published extensive research on the European far right, said: “The Trump administration has a vested interest in strengthening anti-democratic movements abroad, as doing so helps advance its own agenda while lending legitimacy to these actors and their activities.”
Rogers is in Poland today, meeting with senior representatives of Poland’s conversative president Karol Nawrocki to discuss issues to do with history and remembrance, his spokesperson said, and separately with officials from Poland’s liberal government.
And that ends Rutte’s presser.
But we are likely to hear more from EU defence ministers as they arrive for this afternoon’s meeting of the EU’s foreign affairs (defence) council.
Rutte gets asked if he thinks the Arctic sentry will prove to be enough to respond to Trump’s concerns about the region’s security.
He says it’s a gradual response based on what is needed for the alliance, coming from his talks with Trump.
He adds that US talks with Denmark on Greenland are separate to that, and he is not involved in them.
Rutte also gets asked about reported Russia’s war game exercises, and he simply says that Nato needs to be in a position to respond to any threat so “nobody thinks that they can attack us, because our reaction will be devastating.”
“What we need to do and make sure of is that in a couple of years, we can still react in a devastating way if anyone tries to attack this defensive alliance and therefore it’s so important what you’re doing along the eastern flank,” he says.
“We are a defensive alliance, but our reaction will be lethal if they try to attack us,” he adds.
Rutte also gets asked about potential US troops reductions in Europe and his asks at Nato’s upcoming summit in Ankara in July.
He doesn’t exactly answer the first part of the question, saying simply that the US has lots of areas of interest to focus on, and that Europe is stepping up and doing more, but it’s a “step by step” process.
He says it is clear there will always be “a strong US presence in Europe, … not only as the ultimate guarantor of our freedom” with nuclear weapons, but “also when it comes to the conventional forces.”
On Ankara, he says he wants to discuss it with ministers first, but it will focus on implementing the decisions taken at last year’s Hague summit on ramping up defence spending.
Rutte gets asked if he shared his experience of visiting Ukraine last week with the US president, Donald Trump.
He responds with one word: “yes.”
Pushed a bit further, he says:
“The American administration is totally aware of the dreadful situation in Ukraine. …
In my regular context with the American president, of course, we update each other on what’s happening, what we are seeing. That’s part of our regular conversation. So to your questions, yes, absolute clarity in the US on what’s happening in Ukraine. There’s no doubt.”
Asked for more details on Arctic Sentry, Rutte says it’s needed “because we have a clear sense that the Russians and the Chinese are becoming more and more active there.”
(That’s not really what the Danes say, though.)
He says the mission will “enhance” how vigilant Nato is, but says he can’t say much more to not “inform the people in Moscow and Beijing a bit too much.”
Rutte also gets asked about the prospect of holding elections in Ukraine.
He doesn’t seem to be too keen to answer the question and give journalists a line on FT’s report from earlier today suggesting the US was putting pressure on Kyiv to call a presidential election (10:17).
He simply says in general terms that “it is up to the Ukrainians to decide what ultimately they can accept in terms of a peace deal, particularly when it comes to the very sensitive issue of territory.”
He says he has “full trust in the Ukrainian leadership and Ukrainian democracy,” and that is “up to them” to decide how to progress.
Rutte also gets asked about security guarantees for Ukraine.
He claims “great progress” has been made over the last six months, and says there are different elements to security guarantees, including the need to strengthen the Ukrainian armed forces, the Franco-British Coalition of the Willing, and the broader discussions with the US.
He says the current talks are “testing, under the leadership of the American president … whether the Russians are willing to play ball so that we can bring this terrible war to a lasting end so that they will never, ever try again to attack Ukraine.”
He then gets asked about the push from France’s Emmanuel Macron to reopen discussions with Russia.
He says it’s not his role to advise countries and generally says he encourages every initiative which could bring the war to an end – but stresses “the US leadership is key,” as he hails Trump for “breaking the deadlock.”
Rutte also gets asked about the absence of a senior US minister, with undersecretary Elbridge A. Colby attending instead of Pete Hegseth.
But he insists that does not mean anything in terms of US involvement in Nato, as he says that with global interests, US ministers “not always can be here.”
He says Colby is “a very important guy,” and the two have worked closely over the last year or so, and he says it is “very positive” to see him take part in tomorrow’s meeting.
Turning to Arctic and the High North, Rutte says the region is “increasingly important for our collective security.”
He says Nato members “regularly conduct exercsies in the Arctic, ensure we are ready to fight and operation in all conditions.”
But picking up some of Trump’s concerns expressed over Greenland, he says that “in the face of Russia’s increased military activity and China’s growing interest in the High North, it was crucial that we do more.”
He says the new Arctic Sentry mission (13:11) will bring together existing exercises and logistics to show the alliance’s “clear our commitment to ensuring Arctic security and indeed the security of the whole Alliance together.”
He says that the new mission will also help allies to map “potential challenges” so “any gaps can be quickly and effectively addressed.”
He rejects a suggestion it’s just a branding exercise, and says the mission will “bring everything we do in the Arctic together under one command” in the same way Nato has changed its way of operating on the eastern flank.
“This is really big. This is a huge thing, and there’s never happened before,” he says.
Nato’s Rutte is here now.
He talks about Nato’s push to increase its defence spending, hailing some progress in this area.
Turning to Ukraine, he says he was there last week and saw first-hand the impact of Russia’s “relentless attacks.”
“President Putin is trying to break the people of Ukraine, hoping to weaken their resolve. But Ukraine and the Ukrainian people have shown time and again that they will not be broken.”
But he says Ukraine “cannot sustain this fight or secure the peace alone,” and stresses the importance of allied support through Nato.
Ukraine’s defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov will join tomorrow’s Nato ministerial for talks on “how allies can enhance their support and also how they can make it more effective.”
Meanwhile, Denmark has (unsurprisingly) also pledged to “substantially” contribute to a newly launched Nato mission in the Arctic, the Arctic Sentry (13:11).
“We will substantially contribute, and we will maintain momentum to ensure that the Arctic is reflected in Nato’s plans and exercise activities in the long term,” defence minister Troels Lund Poulsen said in comments reported by AFP.
He added that the details of the support would be determined in coordination with Nato allies.
Nato’s secretary general Mark Rutte is due to speak with reporters any moment now, so expect more details from him. I will bring you all the latest here.
Separately, Zelenskyy told Bloomberg (£) that the next round of talks with US and Russia is set to focus on the thorny issue of territorial concessions demanded by Moscow.
He said the talks are expected to take place on Tuesday or Wednesday next week, but it was still unclear if Russia would agree to talks taking place in the US, Bloomberg reported.
Zelenskyy also said that “neither the Russians, nor us” were keen on the US compromise idea of establishing a free economic zone in the eastern region of Donbas.
“If it is our territory – and it is our territory – then the country whose territory it is should govern it,” he said.
Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy has warned that “as long as Russia continues to kill people and destroy our infrastructure, there will not be sufficient public trust in active diplomacy.”
“This is important for all of Ukraine’s partners – in the United States and Europe – to understand,” he said.
He said that “security issues are the key priority right now,” as Ukraine faces continuing attacks, including on civilian population and energy infrastructure.
“Everything else must be addressed only in conjunction with truly guaranteed security,” he stressed.
Zelenskyy also offered a bit more detail on the overnight Russian attack on Kharkiv region (10:17), which killed four: three small children and their father. He said the children’s mother is in hospital.
As part of the increased focus on Arctic and High North, UK defence secretary John Healey is expected to confirm today that the number of British troops deployed to Norway will double over three years from 1,000 to 2,000 personnel.
“Demands on defence are rising, and Russia poses the greatest threat to Arctic and High North security that we have seen since the cold war. We see Putin rapidly re-establishing military presence in the region, including reopening old cold war bases,” Healey warned in a government statement published overnight.
The UK minister will also take part in tomorrow’s Nato ministerial in Brussels.
Nato’s Arctic Sentry mission to strengthen the alliance’s presence and the regional security in the Arctic has now formally begun, Reuters reported.
The mission will seek to “leverage Nato’s strength to protect out territory and ensure the Arctic and High North remain secure,” the alliance said in a press statement.
“Arctic Sentry underscores the Alliance’s commitment to safeguard its members and maintain stability in one of the world’s most strategically significant and environmentally challenging areas,” said US Air Force Gen Alexus G. Grynkewich, Nato’s Supreme Allied Commander Europe.
Obviously, the mission comes in the context – or as a direct result - of repeated US complaints on how Denmark handled the Arctic security on Greenland, and the continuing pressure to take control of the semi-autonomous territory.
We will no doubt here more on all of this from Nato’s secretary general Mark Rutte when he addresses reporters later this afternoon.
Updated
in Berlin
Germany is facing waves of industrial action as the country struggles to extend an anaemic recovery after two years of economic contraction.
Giant services union Ver.di is staging rolling strikes across the country targeting the public sector, with employees of the federal states walking out to gain a better wage deal.
Daycare centres, university hospitals and public transport have been brought to a near halt in recent weeks and on Thursday, dozens of facilities in Berlin and the surrounding Brandenburg region were hit.
Ver.di is demanding a 7% monthly salary hike at fresh negotiations with state governments in Potsdam on behalf of 900,000 employees as well as, by default, 1.3 million civil servants, as their salary deal usually respects the same accord.
The employer side, a federation of 15 states with the exception of Hesse, has dismissed this as excessive and said a 5% increase stretched over 29 months is the best they can do. After two unsuccessful rounds, the talks are set to run until Friday.
Apart from causing inconvenience to average Germans, employers say the strikes set an unfair precedent that is souring the country’s traditional spirit of collaboration in industrial relations.
“Germany urgently needs a law on fairness rules for strikes,” the head of the Confederation of German Employers’ Associations, Steffen Kampeter, told newspaper Bild, calling Ver.di’s tactics “irresponsible”.
“To strike first then negotiate -- that destroys trust,” he said.
Ver.di says employers have failed to address their demands to “keep pace with income developments in the public sector” and that it is “fighting for working conditions that make the jobs attractive” given labour shortages in areas including the judiciary, road construction, administration, healthcare and child care.
The dispute comes as major disruptions loom in German air traffic on Thursday after calls by two unions for strikes by Lufthansa pilots and cabin crew.
The 24-hour work stoppage for pilots centres around a conflict over pensions that has been raging since September.
The industrial action is expected to ground all flights scheduled to depart from German airports, pilots’ union Vereinigung Cockpit said, as well as many cargo flights.
Simultaneously, the UFO union of flight attendants called on its members to strike over the planned shutdown of operations at its short-haul carrier CityLine and “the employer’s continued refusal to negotiate a collective social plan”.
UFO president Andreas Pinheiro said staff “would have very much liked to avoid an escalation”.
He said the planned closure of CityLine and a scheme to spin off its employees to a new subsidiary were unacceptable.
Lufthansa reacted angrily to the unions’ announcements, saying they were “extremely short-notice” and “disproportionate”, leaving passengers to bear the brunt.
“Strikes must always remain a last resort,” company spokesperson Marc Baron said. “We therefore call on the unions to resume talks with us. We are ready to do so at any time.”
Lufthansa pilots are agitating for better retirement benefits as the airline scrambles to cut costs to manage its debt amid relatively weak profitability compared to European rivals.
The company said last year it planned to slash 4,000 jobs, amounting to nearly 4% of its workforce.
However, Germany’s Merz also has some problems brewing at home, as the country gets hit by waves of strikes, with the latest on Thursday set to affect the national airline, Lufthansa.
Let’s go to Deborah Cole in Berlin for more.
Updated
Ahead of the competitiveness marathon over the next 24 to 48 hours, there is a growing focus on Germany’s Friedrich Merz and Italy’s Giorgia Meloni seemingly joining forces to shape the EU agenda – and which AFP notes risks sidelining French president Emmanuel Macron.
The agency said it is the latest sign of the growing cooperation between Rome and Berlin, which is putting a question mark on the traditional France-Germany axis.
The pair held major governmental talks in Rome last month, with Meloni joining that “some observers say that 2026 will be the year of Italy and Germany.”
The two leaders have long shared a tough approach to migration, but agreed to expand their cooperation on everything from trade policy to defence at the Rome summit.
AFP noted that despite her initial reluctance, Meloni eventually backed the EU’s trade agreement with South America’s Mercosur bloc, as advocated by Germany. France, Berlin’s traditional ally, unsuccessfully tried to block the deal over concerns for its farmers.
The pair is now hosting a pre-summit ahead of tomorrow’s main summit on competitiveness, hoping to get other leaders to sign up to their thinking.
Meanwhile, the European Commission has outlined its plan to counter drone threats after months of disruptions caused by drones and meteorological balloons causing chaos on major airports across the EU.
The plan sets out proposals to rapidly increase technological development and industrial production of anti-drone technologies, and their testing through a new EU Counter-Drone Centre of Excellence.
The bloc also wants to review the current rules on civilian drones, warning that some member states currently have no regulation in place, and adds new provisions on geographical zones with restrictions and exclusions.
The EU also wants member states to review their “active mitigation measures” and how they can effectively respond to drone threats after it emerged to be an major issue during repeated drone sightings at airport in Copenhagen, Munich and Brussels.
“We have seen that anything can be used as a weapon against us,” EU’s tech commissioner Henna Virkkunen said, adding that “we are taking a major step toward enhancing security and developing these capabilities together with our member states.”
Defence commissioner Andrius Kubilius said that the proposals were turning “the concept of a Drone Wall from a political vision into an industrial reality,” as he stressed that the EU needed “a sophisticated, multi-layered shield that can detect and neutralise any threat in real-time.”
Meanwhile, Russia’s foreign minister Sergei Lavrov warned that Moscow would take military “countermeasures” if the west boosts its own military footprint on Greenland.
“Of course, in the event of the militarisation of Greenland and the creation of military capabilities aimed at Russia, we will take adequate countermeasures, including military-technical ones,” Lavrov said in a speech to Russian lawmakers, AFP reported.
in Bergen
Meanwhile, Norway’s army chief has said Oslo cannot exclude the possibility of a future Russian invasion of the country, suggesting Moscow could move on Norway to protect its nuclear assets stationed in the far north.
“We don’t exclude a land grab from Russia as part of their plan to protect their own nuclear capabilities, which is the only thing they have left that actually threatens the United States,” said Gen Eirik Kristoffersen, Norway’s chief of defence.
He conceded that Russia did not have conquest goals in Norway in the same way as it had in Ukraine or other former Soviet territories, but said much of Russia’s nuclear arsenal was located on the Kola peninsula, a short distance from the Norwegian border, including nuclear submarines, land-based missiles and nuclear-capable aircraft. These would be crucial if Russia came into conflict with Nato elsewhere.
“We don’t take that off the table, because it’s still an option for Russia to do that in order to make sure that their nuclear capabilities, their second strike capabilities, are protected. That’s sort of the scenario in the high north that we plan for,” he said.
Kristoffersen said that while Norway was keeping the threat of a traditional Russian invasion in mind, the current Russian tactics were more diffuse.
“If you prepare for the worst, there is nothing that prevents you from also being able to counter sabotage and more hybrid threats,” he said.
He added, however, that Norway and Russia still maintained some direct contact over search and rescue missions in the Barents Sea, and that there were regular meetings at the border between representatives of the two militaries.
He has recommended setting up a military hotline between the two capitals to have a channel of communication to avoid escalation based on misunderstanding. He said Russian actions in the far north had generally been less aggressive than those in the Baltic Sea.
At least four people died in overnight Russian strikes on Ukraine, as Moscow shows no signs of compromise just two weeks before the fourth anniversary of the full-scale aggression.
129 Russian drones were identified overnight, the Ukrainian air force said, adding that of these 112 were shot down or neutralised, Reuters reported.
There are now growing hints of US pressure on Ukraine to end the war as soon as possible and preferably before the summer, even at the cost of accepting far-reaching concessions.
On Monday, Matthew Whitaker rejected Ukraine’s claims that the US set a deadline to end the war by June, saying “I don’t think that is anything that the United States has put out there” (Europe Live, Monday).
But Financial Times reported (£) overnight that Ukraine is working on holding presidential elections and a referendum on peace deal, potentially as early as in May, with Washington pressing Kyiv to move as quickly as possible or risk losing critical security guarantees.
The paper pointed out that holding the election would be a major departure from Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s previously repeated suggestions that it was impossible, or at least impractical, to do it during an active war, with many voters either displaced or in active service struggling to take part.
FT suggested that Zelenskyy could announce the plan as early as on 24 February, the fourth anniversary of the full-scale aggression, but its actual implementation would still be conditional on the progress made in talks with Russia, with Moscow not showing signs of dropping its maximalist demands.
European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen insisted this morning that the EU needs to “tear down” the economic barriers that prevent it from becoming “a global giant” and deepen its internal market, as she kicked off 48 hours of intensive discussions on the bloc’s economy.
A number of EU leaders will meet today at an industry event in Antwerp, before they meet again tomorrow morning for a pre-summit discussion ahead of an informal summit proper later that tonight.
Addressing a largely empty hemisphere of the European Parliament in Strasbourg, von der Leyen said the bloc needed “to tear down the barriers that prevent us from being a true global giant,” as she warned that the current system amounts to “fragmentation on steroids” with many different, and potentially conflicting, legal regimes.
“We have the second largest economy in the world, but we are driving it with the handbrake on, and the good news is this can be fixed, but we need single minded focus on the single market, and we need to tear down barriers one by one,” she said.
Von der Leyen warned that “competitiveness is not just the foundation of our prosperity, but of our security, and ultimately, of our democracies too.”
The European Commission is planning to move forward a number of proposals, including its “EU Inc.” regime, which would allow people to register a company in any member state within 48 hours, fully online, and help with crossborder operations.
“This is the speed we need, and this is Europe made easy,” she said.
The commission wants a plan to be agreed by March and implemented by the end of next year.
But it’s fair to say that other leaders have some competing ideas, with a particularly strong anti-bureaucracy coalition forming around German chancellor Friedrich Merz and Italian prime minister Giorgia Meloni, so expect their voices to feature prominently in this debate. French president Emmanuel Macron also outlined his thoughts on this yesterday (Europe Live, Tuesday).
I will follow this closely for you.
Separately, I will bring you the latest on Ukraine, with EU defence ministers meeting in Brussels to discuss the situation in the country ahead of tomorrow’s separate Nato meeting, and more news from across the continent.
It’s Wednesday, 11 February 2026, it’s Jakub Krupa here, and this is Europe Live.
Good morning.