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Sweden general election: close race as far right eyes role in government – Europe live

The polls opened at 8am local time (7am UK) and will close 12 hours later, at 8pm local time (7pm UK). And it is at 8pm local time when we should get the results of the Swedish public broadcaster SVT’s polling station survey, and a separate poll commissioned by private broadcaster TV4. We should start getting first actual results not long after that and as the night goes on, we should be moving to on a firmer ground (he says hopefully). For what it’s worth, SVT is hoping to release its “super forecast” with expected election result at some point after 9pm local time (8pm UK). Don’t expect the party leaders to rush to stage for their victory speeches before we get a clear(er) sense of what is going on. Understandably, we focus on the general election, but it’s worth noting that the local elections to regional and municipal councils are also held on the same day, and so voters get as many as three ballots in total.

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Russian drone hits Kyiv-Warsaw passenger train near Polish border

A passenger train travelling from Kyiv to Warsaw was hit by a Russian drone two kilometres from the Polish border in an attack that Ukraine’s foreign minister described as “Putin’s terror knocking directly on the doors of the EU and Nato”. Overnight attacks across Ukraine involving more than 450 Russian drones and missiles killed at least six people and injured more than 40. Ukraine’s air force said it had intercepted 405 drones and four missiles. Western Ukraine, which is typically quieter than Kyiv or the eastern frontline zones, was particularly badly hit. The strikes prompted air-raid warnings in Poland, which shares a border with western Ukraine. Ukrainian and Polish authorities said a lorry less than a kilometre from the Dorohusk-Yahodyn border crossing between the two countries was also hit. Reuters reported Russia’s defence ministry as saying it had targeted infrastructure that facilitated military cargo being moved from Europe into Ukraine. Katerina Sergatskova, the director of Daily Humanity, an organisation that provides training to people working in high-risk environments, was travelling on the Warsaw-bound train. She said passengers were told to evacuate at about 9am as the train approached the Polish border having already been told to disembark for two hours in the middle of the night. “At this point, the mood was different, we were asked to move very fast,” she said. “Then I heard the first drone. “Seeing and hearing Shahed [drones] just a few hundred metres from the border is a very unpleasant experience.” No casualties were reported on the train. Three people were killed in the eastern Donetsk region, and a 71-year-old woman was killed in the southern Mykolaiv region. Ukraine’s foreign minister, Andrii Sybiha, said the Russian strikes were “not just a continuation of its attacks on our state borders”. “This is Putin’s terror knocking directly on the doors of the EU and Nato. Russian barbarians are at your gate, dear partners,” he wrote on X. Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, wrote on Telegram: “Ukrainians are fighting every day to prevent these strikes from spreading further into Europe, giving their lives and preventing the aggression from expanding.” Poland’s foreign minister, Radosław Sikorski, who visited Kyiv this week, said on X after Sunday morning’s attack: “Putin is escalating.” The Polish interior minister, Marcin Kierwiński, said: “We treat these events with the utmost seriousness. The situation is being monitored continuously. Russia is the enemy of the free world.” Ukraine and Russia have increased attacks on critical infrastructure in each other’s countries as long-range drones and missiles take the war away from the frontlines. The US president, Donald Trump, said on Sunday that Zelenskyy should “stop knocking out diesel fuel in Russia” because it was causing shortages. “Let him go after targets, but not diesel fuel, because he’s causing a shortage of diesel,” Trump said, adding that shortages were caused by the Russia-Ukraine war rather than the US war in the Middle East. In Lithuania, authorities briefly closed the airport in Vilnius, the capital, after a perceived drone sighting. Nato scrambled at least one fighter jet in response to the alert, which turned out to be a flock of birds. The airport reopened within 40 minutes, according to Lithuanian authorities.

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Pressure builds in Spain to deny US extradition request for leftwing donor

Attorneys for James “Fergie” Chambers, the US citizen and wealthy donor to leftwing and humanitarian projects worldwide who is currently imprisoned in Madrid and sought in extradition, have submitted a brief ahead of a decisive government meeting on the case. Meanwhile, Chambers’ partner, the actor and activist Stella Schnabel, met last week with multiple members of the Spanish parliament to assert his innocence. The legal team’s arguments include that the US government has failed to identify specific acts of violence or damages personally attributable to Chambers and instead is seeking to criminalize acts linked to political protest. They also assert that at least one figure of US law underpinning the request – “conspiracy to commit riot” – has no equivalent in Spanish law, which would also help render the extradition invalid. It is the first known case of the US seeking to extradite a citizen over alleged support for Hamas. Chambers’ defense has submitted its brief to the government ahead of a meeting by Spain’s council of ministers expected to take place on 22 September. The council can decide whether or not to allow the US extradition request to proceed, based in part on an evaluation of supporting materials the Trump administration supplied to the government on 26 August. Under Spanish law, at this “administrative” stage, the 22-member council has the power to deny the request, before it reaches a “judicial” stage. The US government’s case centers on Chambers allegedly laundering $7.5m that he wired several years ago from a US bank account to Tunisia, where he lived at the time, and allegedly using the money to support the Palestinian group Hamas. The exact details of the indictment against Chambers remain sealed. Chambers’ team say he has been supporting humanitarian aid and other projects. The 41–year-old self-described anti–imperialist’s defense is also asserting that the Trump administration’s additional charges of “international money laundering” don’t hold up because, as heir to one of the richest families in the US, he obtained his personal wealth through legal means. Chambers’ donations have gone to about 100 projects in 20 countries for several years – including the Sameer Project, in Gaza. “It would set an alarming precedent in all of Europe if Spain allowed the Trump administration to criminalize offering vital humanitarian aid to the Palestinian people and defending their rights,” said Baltasar Garzón, the acclaimed human rights lawyer and a member of Chambers’ legal team. “That’s what Fergie has financed: humanitarian aid and support for people in a situation of great need,” said Garzón. “That’s not terrorism, according to Spanish and European legal standards.” Meanwhile, Schnabel has met with members of Sumar and Podemos – progressive political movements vital to the coalition government of the prime minister, Pedro Sánchez – and has written a one-page letter to Sánchez asking him to make “the only morally acceptable decision”, that of denying extradition. Sánchez forms part of the council of ministers. Schnabel has not escaped scrutiny since her partner was detained on 10 July in Ibiza. On a recent trip to New York, the FBI pulled her aside at JFK airport and confiscated her phone, she said. Support for Chambers in the lead-up to the 20 September meeting has come from Ione Bellara, leader of Podemos, who opened the party’s quarterly meeting last Saturday with a statement opposing the extradition request, saying that Chambers was “on the right side of history” with his financial support of Palestinians in Gaza. Similarly, Sumar, the leftwing coalition that governs jointly with Sánchez’s Socialist party, filed a statement in Spain’s congress earlier this week urging the government to deny the petition, “given that the goal of the extradition request … is to criminalize, persecute or punish [Chambers] due to his political opinions, his public activity or his participation in political movements – in this case, in support of the Palestinian people”. Irene Montero, member of Podemos and Spanish representative to the European parliament, told the Guardian that “Our laws don’t contemplate the actions he is accused of … [and] we can’t become a subject of the United States.” Activists have held rallies in recent days in at least six cities across Spain in support of Chambers, with plans for more. Other shows of support from farther afield have included a petition delivered to the Spanish government signed by actors, academics, activists and others, including Richard Gere, Greta Thunberg and Angela Davis. In Tunisia, supporters of the Club Africain football team displayed banners and T-shirts at a recent match that read, “Free Fergie”. In Portugal, at Festa do Avante, one of that country’s largest cultural festivals, fans held up a banner saying: “Free Fergie – supporting Palestine isn’t a crime.” Schnabel told the Guardian last month that the $7.5m went to support Club Africain. Hamed Mbarek, one of the club’s supporters and an organizer of fans at last Saturday’s match, said Club Africain was “pro-Palestine” and that Chambers and the club had “synchronicity”. Chambers’ money comes from a mid-2023 settlement with his family, owners of Atlanta-based Cox Communications, in which he sold stock back to his family worth about $250m. Members of his family severed contact with him at the time. His views and donations have been extensively profiled in US media. He was interviewed on a TV news station in New Hampshire in late 2023 about a direct action against Elbit Systems, an Israeli defense contractor, staged by a group whose legal fees he paid, then called Palestine Action – a group now proscribed in the UK as a “terrorist organization”. Chambers’ public comments on Israel and Gaza have also brought controversy. A week after the 7 October 2023 Hamas attacks on Israel, he posted on X about Israel’s response: “Stop calling it ‘collective punishment’/ There’s nothing to be ‘punished’ for/ No faction of the Palestinian resistance, Hamas or other, has done *anything* wrong/ It’s simply genocide/ Like it has been.” He has also been a staunch critic of the US, telling a reporter in 2024: “I think the most important thing for the prosperity of humanity is the destruction of the US.” Irene Zugasti helped organize rallies earlier this week and last weekend in support of Chambers in Madrid, Barcelona and several other Spanish cities. She sees the case as bigger than whether he is extradited or not. “If they go after Fergie, they’ll go after anyone … It’s a test – to see until what point European governments feel pressure from the United States.”

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Voting under way in Sweden with far right eyeing first role in government

Voting is under way in Sweden in a high-stakes election that could lead to the far-right Sweden Democrats (SD) entering government for the first time. It comes after an unusually heated and polarised campaign punctuated by personal attacks between leaders, accusations of misinformation and Maga-inspired ads. Polls suggest an extremely tight race, with one showing just 0.3 percentage points between the left and right blocs. Polling stations across the country opened at 8am local time (7am UK time). A record 3.6 million voters took part in early voting. Early indications of results will come at 8pm when the first exit polls are released, followed by a forecast from the broadcaster SVT an hour later. The first preliminary vote count is expected between 10.30 and 11pm. Whatever the result, coalition talks are expected to take weeks if not months. The right-leaning bloc, made up of what are known as the Tidö parties, has been in power for four years. It is formed of the Moderates, the Christian Democrats and the Liberals with a supporting role for SD, Sweden’s second biggest party. The opposition left-leaning bloc is formed of Sweden’s biggest party, the Social Democrats, the Centre party, the Green party and the Left party. The rightwing coalition broke a longstanding taboo in 2022 by going into partnership with SD, which has neo-Nazi roots. SD has attempted to make itself more palatable to the mainstream by toning down its overtly racist rhetoric, while arguing that immigration is responsible for Sweden’s crime problems. After four years in a supporting role for the Moderates-run coalition government, however, during which it has shifted much of the Swedish establishment to the right, SD’s approach to the election has been more brazen. If the right-leaning coalition wins, the party has been promised a prominent role in the government, including key ministerial positions. SD’s campaign slogan of “make Sweden Sweden again” was reminiscent of Donald Trump’s “make America great again”. Its controversial ads on buses – with messages including: “Do you miss Mogadishu? The repatriation grant will help you get home” – were taken down after drivers refused to work in vehicles displaying them. The party leader, Jimmie Åkesson, was accused of sexism after asking the Social Democrats’ leader, Magdalena Andersson, why she was so angry during a TV debate. Another leading SD figure, Gustav Gellerbrant, came under national scrutiny after an investigation by the publication Expo connected his partner to Russian state actors and the spread of Russian propaganda. His partner, who is Russian, works as a civil servant for SD in parliament. Gellerbrant said in response that it was “isolated information” intended to raise suspicion about her Russian origins and has since gone on leave. Andersson, who voted on Sunday morning in the Stockholm suburb of Nacka, said the campaign had been “a tale of two sides”. “There have been a lot of lies and bickering, but at the same time there are so many sensible people out there across the country,” she told SVT. “The focus is on winning and setting a new direction for Sweden.” Abba’s Benny Andersson showed his support for the Social Democrats’ leader by performing a reworked version of Mamma Mia to supporters at the party’s headquarters, replacing the words “Mamma Mia” with “Magdalena”. The prime minister and leader of the Moderates, Ulf Kristersson, has put considerable focus in the final days of campaigning on the penalty discount applied to criminals convicted of various offences. He accused Andersson of not standing up for female rape victims. In response, she accused him of weaponising men’s violence against women. Voters say the most important election issues are healthcare, law and order, immigration and the economy. But much of the election debate has been focused on personal finance, said Radio Sweden’s senior political correspondent, Fredrik Furtenbach. “The parties have tried to outdo each other with promises of more money. It has been a sort of auction.”

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Who are the 514 people accused of starting French wildfires and what motivates them?

One is a boy of 15, who threw a burning cigarette into a wood near Bordeaux. Another is a 36-year-old man who set a paper bag of rubbish on fire in bushes near Perpignan. A third is a 50-year-old woman accused of lighting 17 fires south of La Rochelle. According to the French interior ministry, since the start of a summer in which a record 115,000 hectares of forest, scrub and heathland have gone up in flames, 514 people – including 198 minors – have been arrested on suspicion of starting wildfires. Who are they, and what motivates them? Experts say arson is an under-studied field in France. It remains, according to Thierry Toutin, a criminology researcher with the national police, “a mysterious crime, often hard for people to understand”. Two hundred years ago, under Napoleon, deliberately starting a wildfire in France was a crime so grave it carried an automatic death penalty by guillotine. These days, sentences start at 10 years in jail and a €150,000 fine, rising to 15 years if protected forests or reserves burn, and life if someone is killed. Arsonists have “many different profiles”, Toutin said in an essay for The Conversation. Several French departments have set up dedicated arson groups uniting police, forestry board experts and local services to help identify, find and prosecute them, he said, but still: “These are often crimes that are unsolved, or don’t lead to convictions, because the fire has destroyed the evidence.” France’s official statistics classify wildfires by their cause: natural, such as lightning; accidental (say, a vehicle fire or electrical fault); involuntary professional (sparks from a machine); involuntary individual (a cigarette or barbecue) – and voluntary. In practice, as a government PSA has repeated all summer on radio, TV and online, nine out of 10 fires are caused by human activity, with roughly two-thirds classed as involuntary (which, if negligence is proven, carries a jail term of one to five years). That means fully one-third of wildfires in France each year are set deliberately, with the intention of doing harm. In 2025, the last year for which full figures are available, deliberate acts of arson were the biggest single cause of forest fires in France, accounting for 29.4% of blazes. Among those convicted this summer are a 27-year-old man diagnosed with autism and schizophrenia who set fire to a letter to his late daughter in tinder-dry vegetation near Béziers. He was sentenced to four years of detention and treatment. Perpignan court last week sentenced a 51-year-old man to five years in prison for lighting four fires in July and August. In Les Sables d’Olonnes, a volunteer firefighter – reported to police by his superiors – was handed a three-year suspended sentence. In Lyon, a 29-year-old man with a police record for theft, trafficking and domestic violence was convicted of setting a fire that destroyed more than a hectare of land, took 71 firefighters to extinguish and forced the evacuation of 150 people. Those convicted of negligence include a motorist who lit a fire to alert emergency services after he broke down (six months, suspended) and two restaurant owners in the south-west who defied a red fire alert to light a charcoal grill and set off fireworks. An early analysis based on police reports and obtained by Le Figaro showed 97.5 % of arson suspects arrested this year have been men, aged on average 32.5, with 28.7% under 18. More than 95% were French citizens. Of a relatively small sample of 80 suspects, 37 were unemployed. Exactly what drove them to act is often much harder to establish. In principle, criminologists identify four main categories of motivation. Some arson attacks are carried out in the context of a conflict: a dispute with a neighbour; criminal rivalry between gangs; revenge against someone or something. Other arsonists may act for financial gain, such as a false insurance claim, or out of ideological or political conviction. The remainder display some kind of pathology, often psychological – including a small number of genuine pyromaniacs. “Arsonists may be after money, or revenge, or be trying to cover up a crime. They may be under the influence of alcohol or other substances,” said Laurent Layet, a psychiatrist. “A pyromaniac’s sole objective is to set fire to something.” Pyromaniacs “have difficulty organising their personalities”, Layet told France Inter radio. “They are often impulsive, and they have trouble controlling their emotions. Often, they are quite isolated socially.” Classified as an impulse-control disorder, pyromania is characterised by “a fascination with fire, by a mounting tension before the act, and then a feeling of pleasure or relief immediately afterwards”, he said. But pyromaniacs are typically organised, aware of the consequences of their acts, and considered criminally responsible. They also represent barely 5% of the people who deliberately set fires. Another equally small group are firefighters – mostly volunteers, very rarely professionals – who deliberately set fires for the glory that comes from extinguishing them. Over the years, France’s departmental fire services have set up filtering mechanisms to detect such personalities during the recruitment process, including psychological tests. They acknowledge that each year, some slip through the net. But the motivation of most people who deliberately light wildfires is rarely quite so clearcut. For many, it boils down to an ill-defined “act of defiance – to confront the system, and get pleasure from destroying other people’s property”, said Johanna Rozenblum, a clinical psychologist who works with the fire service. A strikingly large proportion of the arsonists she had dealt with had “marked antisocial profiles”, Rozenblum said. And in the case of minors, adolescent impulsiveness and frustration combine with “immaturity and internal revolt” to prevent them fully realising the devastating scale of the damage they risk doing.

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One dead and more than 30 missing after ferry sinks off Vanuatu coast in rough seas

One person has died and more than 30 are missing after a ferry sank off the coast of Vanuatu, the country’s government says. The vessel, MV Matui, had set sail with more than 40 passengers and crew on Friday from the island of Santo to Ambae island in very rough seas, but did not arrive. “Our hearts and prayers are with the families who have lost loved ones,” Vanuatu prime minister Jotham Napat’s office said in a statement on Sunday. “Search and rescue operations are continuing.” Fifteen of those onboard have been “accounted for alive” and one body has been recovered, the statement said. “Over 30 people remain missing at sea,” it said. “To the survivors, we ⁠pray for your strength and recovery. To the families of those missing and those we have lost, please know that the nation stands with you ‌in this time of grief.” An investigation into potential negligence has been launched. “This loss appears to be the result of strong winds and marine warnings not being heeded, and possibly of negligence including overloading of the vessel,” the statement added. The Maritime Rescue Coordination Centre in New Caledonia said it was assisting with the search, and a French Armed Forces aircraft was deployed on Sunday morning. The centre said 12 people were located on Sunday morning. Matai Seremaiah, the member of parliament for Luganville who is assisting in the search, said efforts would concentrate on the south-east coast where currents may have carried survivors. With Agence France-Presse and Reuters

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Ukraine war briefing: Nine killed and dozens wounded in Russian strikes as Kyiv braces for harsh winter

Russian airstrikes killed nine people, injured dozens and damaged buildings and infrastructure across Ukraine on Saturday, as Kyiv braces for a “very difficult” winter amid intensified attacks on the country. The civilian death toll has risen sharply in Ukraine over the past two ⁠months as Russia steps up attacks ⁠on power plants and other infrastructure. Ukraine has hit energy facilities and warehouses in distant parts of Russia, and both sides have targeted each other’s shipping. Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy, writing on Telegram, said Russia had deployed nearly 500 drones against Ukrainian targets since ⁠early morning. “Basically, the Russians have expanded the war away from the front, where they have no success, into the economy, and their tactics are as basic as it gets: destroying every site that could help people cope with the conditions of war,” he wrote. “Russia ⁠wants to kill the Ukrainian economy and break our resistance.” The city council in Kramatorsk, one of Ukraine’s frontline “fortress cities” that Russia wants to capture, said Russian forces attacked private cars, killing three people in three incidents over ‌a 90-minute period. Four people were injured. “These ‌are not military targets,” the council said. “They are ordinary civilian cars. People were going about their business.” The governor of Ukraine’s Zhytomyr region, Vitaliy Bunechko, said ‌a Russian strike on a grocery store killed two people in the town of Zviahel, west of Kyiv. Bunechko said two petrol stations also came under attack. Earlier, Zelenskyy reported attacks on the south-eastern city of Zaporizhzhia and Kryvyi Rih, his home town. The governor of Zaporizhzhia region, Ivan Fedorov, said two people were killed and 11 injured in assaults on Zaporizhzhia and other localities. In Odesa region, governor Oleh Kiper said 37 people, including an infant, were injured in a series of overnight attacks, while two people were missing. Russia’s defence ministry said Russian forces have maintained their strikes on Ukrainian ports, hitting a cargo ship in Odesa that it said was carrying goods ⁠for military use. Ukrainian officials said the country was bracing for a brutal winter as intensified Russian attacks on infrastructure and key export industries compound a ⁠deepening budget crisis. The economy minister, Oleksandr Kravchenko, said damage to infrastructure and fixed assets from Russian airstrikes was estimated at close to $10bn this year, while the broader economic costs of the attacks and ⁠the de facto blockage of its ports had cut 1.5 percentage points of GDP. “We anticipate a very difficult winter in terms of both critical infrastructure, which is being destroyed every day ⁠by Russian attacks, but also in terms of overall economic conditions in the country,” he said. With fighting on the frontline largely stalled, Russia and Ukraine have increasingly ‌targeted logistics networks and other economic assets in an effort to undermine each other’s war effort. For more than two weeks, Russia has carried out near constant attacks on Kyiv using faster jet-powered drones, disrupting life, business and government operations. Moscow has also effectively blocked Ukraine’s Black Sea ports by intensifying its air attacks on the country’s southern regions. Ukraine’s ‌main exports – agricultural products and iron and steel – are shipped via these ports. In Moldova on Ukraine’s western border, authorities closed national airspace for nearly an hour after a drone was detected near the border. Seven border crossings were temporarily closed. Zelenskyy said he would be willing to meet Putin at the G20 summit in Miami for talks on ending the war, in a media interview released Saturday, but the Kremlin immediately ruled it out. “It is impossible,” Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told AFP in New Delhi on Saturday, repeating Moscow’s demand that a meeting can only take place in the Russian capital. The gathering of world leaders takes place on 14-15 December and there has been no confirmation yet as to whether Putin would attend. Putin has repeatedly rejected offers for a face-to-face meeting with Zelenskyy.