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‘In 20 years most of the world could be racist dictatorships’: Ibram X Kendi on book bans and far-right fear-mongering

‘I think I’ve had at least seven books that have been banned in the United States,” says Ibram X Kendi, in a tone that carries no bitterness but stops just short of pride. It’s proof, he says, that his works on racism, which extend from deep, scholarly histories to a biography of Malcolm X for children, are getting through to the right people – and annoying the right people. According to the writers’ advocacy group PEN America, his books have been banned at least 50 times by multiple US school districts during the tumultuous “anti-woke” backlash of the past five years. He’s not happy about that, but nor was he discouraged. “I understood that the major reason why people were singling me out and demonising me was because they did not want people reading my books,” he says. “And when the character assassinations did not work to the scale that they wanted them to, then they started banning my books, and the books of many others.” Kendi’s work is divisive almost by design. He has a way of framing his ideas in radically stark terms. In his 2016 breakthrough book Stamped from the Beginning, a history of racist ideas in the US, he argued that racist policies lead to racist ideas, not the other way round. His bestselling follow-up, 2019’s How to Be an Antiracist, introduced an equally contentious proposition: there was no such thing as “not racist”; you were either racist or anti-racist. There was no in-between: inaction or neutrality about racist issues was effectively complicity. By extension, he argued that all racial disparities in outcome for Black people were the result of racist policies – not just some, all. Discussing his latest book, Chain of Ideas, 43-year-old Kendi presents another uncompromising binary. “We, as human beings, have two choices in the 21st century: antiracist democracy or racist dictatorship,” he tells me over a video call from his book-lined study at Howard University in Washington DC. In person he is mild-mannered, neatly styled and softly spoken, but in terms of rhetoric, Kendi punches hard. “There is almost certainly a likelihood that in 20 years, the better part of Europe, and frankly the world, could be led by racist dictatorships,” he continues. “We’ve gone from monarchy to democracy to dictatorship. We’re literally going backwards. Why? Because we fear people we don’t know.” The central subject of Chain of Ideas is the great replacement theory – the once-fringe, now-mainstream conspiracy theory that powerful elites are enabling people of colour to “replace” white populations – primarily through immigration. In Kendi’s view, the real agenda of great replacement theory has been to pave the way for authoritarian governments around the world, from Trump’s America (“You will not replace us!” the far-right marchers chanted in Charlottesville in 2017) to Orbán’s Hungary to Modi’s India. Or, looking into the near future, Reform UK in Britain, the AfD in Germany, Marine Le Pen’s National Rally in France, and dozens more. “As a scholar of the history of racist ideas, I’m constantly trying to make sure I’m aware of what I call in my work the progression of racism: the ways in which racism is changing and evolving and taking on new forms,” he says. Kendi didn’t initially see the connections between racism and authoritarianism. He started out seeking answers to questions like, “Why was it that, particularly in the United States, there were increasing numbers of people, particularly white Americans, who were empowering people whose policies were clearly harming them?” As the title suggests, Chain of Ideas maps out the sequence of ideological and historical links that got us to where so many of us are now. And although many far-right figures would be outraged at the association, the starting point is Nazi Germany. After the second world war, Kendi writes, “the house of Hitler became uninhabitable for the rest of the 20th century. It became difficult for politicians to attract voters with Nazi ideas and win.” But certain far-right elements did not abandon this structure, he says. “They gutted it. They renovated it. New walls and fixtures and furniture.” Overt mentions of “race” or “genetics” or “biology” are too unpalatable these days, for example. So instead: “They’ve essentially said that these people from Africa and the Middle East are changing the cultural makeup of Europe,” says Kendi. “Multiculturalism, they’re arguing, is destroying ‘indigenous’ white, European cultures. And then they’re arguing that those indigenous European cultures are ‘Christian’, certainly not Muslim. Even though, for about 44,000 years in Europe, people didn’t practise Christianity.” In the US, the scapegoats are slightly different: migrants from Latin America and non-white immigrants from Africa and Asia – but the language is similar, and hardening all the time. During the 2024 presidential election campaign, Trump claimed that immigrants were “poisoning the blood of our country” – echoing Hitler’s words: “Jews and migrants are poisoning Aryan blood”. Discussing shooting attacks by immigrants in the US last week, Trump told Fox News: “Their genetics are not exactly your genetic.” The far right’s proposed solutions are not so distant from those of the Nazis, either, Kendi argues. Instead of concentration camps, we have mega-prisons, such as those run by US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) – crowded, unsanitary, inhumane, free of public scrutiny and increasing in scale all the time. And in place of the Nazis’ genocidal Final Solution, we hear about “remigration”. Once an extreme proposition, the concept is now openly discussed by far-right parties across the world – including in the UK, where Reform has suggested it could deport up to 600,000 people in its first term. Great replacement theory often hinges on another racist binary, Kendi points out – between “eternal natives” and “eternal immigrants”. Through this lens, white people are cast as inherently belonging to whatever place they are in – eternal natives. People of colour, by contrast, don’t really belong or “properly” assimilate – eternal immigrants. “Apparently, white immigrants do not signify that the country is changing,” Kendi writes, only Black and brown ones. Trump expressed this directly in 2019, when he told four congresswomen of colour (all US citizens) to go back to the “corrupt” and “crime-infested” countries they came from. Trump’s own family are also immigrants, hailing from Germany and Scotland, but this is never considered problematic. Nor is the fact that, for centuries, the most extreme “replacing” has been done by white people – across the Americas, Africa and Australia, for example. A similar “eternal immigrants/eternal natives” mindset inspired the French writer Renaud Camus to write his 2011 book The Great Replacement, which gave the conspiracy theory its name. Visiting the southern French region of Hérault in 1996, Camus was under the impression that parts of it – and by extension the entire country – had been overrun by African immigrants. “During our lifetime, and even less, France was in the process of changing its population,” he later wrote. Never mind that those Africans made up no more than 4% of Hérault’s population, Kendi points out. Or that Hérault was also a popular destination for white immigrants from Spain, Portugal, the UK, Italy and other European countries. Many people have legitimate concerns about the extent of immigration, Kendi agrees, but “great replacement politicians are typically not supporting policies that would reduce immigration”, he says. People are likely to be immigrating because of lack of economic opportunity, war, political instability, poverty, violence, climate breakdown. “The very people who claim to be so firmly against immigrants of colour coming to their nations are simultaneously launching wars and humanitarian crises in those regions, which are only going to propel immigration … They need these immigrants to keep coming in order for their political business to expand.” There’s a zero-sum logic to the theory, Kendi points out: people are led to believe that immigrants are taking from them, depriving them of wealth, jobs, security, taxpayer-funded amenities. These beliefs are rarely borne out by the facts. Immigrants pay more in taxes and take less in benefits than the average US citizen, and are significantly less likely to commit crimes, for example. But “once you can convince a population that they are under attack, that their lives, their livelihoods are being lost, and you have convinced them that you are their saviour and their protector, you can then present yourself as a strongman, an authoritarian, and do away with democratic traditions.” Those democratic traditions invariably include mechanisms for dissent – the media, academia, culture, protest. All of which helps to explain why Kendi found himself in the firing line back in 2020. As Black Lives Matter protests welled up after the murder of George Floyd, How to Be an Antiracist, published a year earlier, became something of a key text. “It was a book in which I largely looked in the mirror,” he says. “Unlike other books that would talk down to people, if anything, I was talking down to myself, and really thinking through: how I have been able to unlearn these internalised, anti-Black, racist ideas?” Much of the world was asking the same questions. The book became a bestseller, which made Kendi a minor celebrity, frequently appearing on television and in the media (including the Guardian). But Kendi’s diagnoses, and his distinction between “racist” and “antiracist”, rubbed a lot of people up the wrong way. And, he now realises, they had a coordinated attack plan. In early 2021, the far right homed in on the term “critical race theory” – an academic field studying structural racism. The conservative activist Christopher Rufo brazenly laid out the plan in a tweet: “We have successfully frozen their brand – ‘critical race theory’ – into the public conversation and are steadily driving up negative perceptions. We will eventually turn it toxic, as we put all of the various cultural insanities under that brand category.” Rufo labelled Kendi “critical race theory’s chief marketing officer”. Depressingly, by and large, it worked. The rightwing propaganda machine cranked into gear, and the genuine victimhood of Black Lives Matter was overwritten with a hammered-home narrative of white victimhood, ostensibly at the hands of critical race theory, “DEI”, “identity politics” and “wokeness”. It wasn’t just the book bans: the backlash affected Kendi’s work. In 2020 he had been invited to form a new Center for Antiracist Research at Boston University, with $55m in grants. But by 2023 the personal attacks had led to a significant decline in funds, Kendi says. Added to which, he was accused of financial mismanagement and having an “imperious leadership style”. Journalists seized on the allegations, he recalls, but far fewer of them reported the outcome of the investigation: “I was completely cleared.” The centre closed in June last year. Meanwhile, as he revealed in How to Be an Antiracist, Kendi was recovering from stage 4 colon cancer. He was diagnosed in 2018, and needed surgery and six months of chemotherapy. The treatment appears to have worked, he says, although it’s too early to declare an all-clear. Ironically, the cancer took his mind off things: “If that wasn’t the primary worry in my life, I feel like the attacks would have been much more difficult to endure. When you’re facing a major health crisis, it puts everything else in perspective.” All in all, it’s been a traumatic few years, Kendi admits, “which is why I’m so happy … happy isn’t the best word … fortunate to have been able to work on a book project while I was experiencing all of that. It’s therapeutic for me because when I’m researching and writing, I just become so laser-focused. It’s as if the entire world melts away.” Kendi puts his career success down to “a combination of luck and a willingness to be self-critical”, although he also admits to having a stubborn curiosity. “My parents would say that ever since they could remember, I have been able to point out contradictions.” It also helped that he grew up steeped in African American politics and activism. He was born in Queens, New York, to deeply religious parents who both became Methodist ministers, but their religiosity was not all-encompassing. “There was also a secular, scientific part of their ideological makeup.” He argued with them, of course, but they remain close. When he married in 2013, he changed his name from Ibram Henry Rogers. The X stands for Xolani, which is Zulu for “peace”. Kendi, a new family name he chose with his wife, Sadiqa, means “loved one” in Meru. They have two daughters, aged nine and two, so now he is on the receiving end of the arguments, having the contradictions in his own rules pointed out to him. “And when they do, there’s nothing I can say. They know how to get me,” he laughs. As he prepares to embark on a US-wide book tour, Kendi is excited but also apprehensive, he says. “Apprehensive because this is a pretty fraught, polarised, even to a certain extent dangerous, political time in the United States.” Going out and speaking about these issues, as a prominent, routinely demonised Black intellectual, carries uncomfortable levels of risk. Then there’s the bigger problem: that the world seems to be heading inexorably towards the “racist dictatorship” end of Kendi’s binary. Laying out the process is one thing, but what can be done? “I think it’s incredibly important for us to hold people accountable,” he says. “Germany decided to only incarcerate Hitler and ban his party for a few years after he led an insurrection. If the level of accountability had matched the harm, the face of European history may have been different.” He barely needs to complete the thought at this stage. Just as Trump and his associates are likely to evade accountability for the 6 January insurrection, so the enslavers and the Confederates of the civil war and the architects of Jim Crow segregation never really faced justice. “That is, frankly, the American tradition, which is to not hold, particularly racist, power accountable. And generations of Americans have suffered as a result of it.” But the primary route to enabling antiracist democracy to flourish, he says, is simply improving conditions for people. “Because it is those conditions, and it is people’s own struggles, that are being capitalised on to blame those immigrants, Muslims, Black people, for why those conditions exist. By giving people more, it makes it harder for you to say: ‘You don’t have because others are taking.’” The great replacement theory is a smokescreen for the real causes of poverty and deprivation: neoliberal capitalism and the huge inequalities it has created. “As a human community, we have to move away from this idea that as other groups gain, my group loses, that other groups are fundamentally our political enemies. Because that idea is being used by oligarchs all over the world to divide and conquer us … We’re so easily manipulated into thinking that strangers are dangerous. The people who are dangerous are the people who are telling us that strangers are dangerous.” • Chain of Ideas: Great Replacement Theory and the Origins of Our Authoritarian Age is published by Bodley Head (£25). To support the Guardian, buy a copy at guardianbookshop.com. Delivery charges may apply.

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Middle East crisis live: IEA chief says Iran war energy crunch worse than 1970s oil crises and Ukraine war combined

Turning to Indonesia now, the country is eyeing up to 80tn rupiah ($4.7bn) in savings to cushion its economy from the fallout of the war in the Middle East, according to the government. South-east Asia’s largest economy is also considering fuel-saving measures including one day of remote working a week for government and certain public sector workers amid soaring global oil prices. In an interview recorded last week, President Prabowo Subianto was asked about a possible shift in budget priorities for the country that heavily subsidises fuel for its population of just over 284 million. The former general said the government was “making every effort” to cut costs by curbing energy consumption and boosting production of renewables, mainly solar power, Agence France-Presse is reporting. During the interview, presidential spokesman Prasetyo Hadi suggested the government is seeking savings of 80tn rupiah – a number confirmed to AFP by the presidency on Monday. Prasetyo did not detail where the money would come from. The government has repeatedly insisted Prabowo’s signature free meals program will remain untouched, and has so far staunchly defended its fuel subsidy, which covers about 30-40% of the cost for consumers and represents around 15% of the budget

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New Zealand PM’s ratings dip as fragile economy fails to impress before November election, poll shows

The personal ratings of New Zealand’s prime minister, Christopher Luxon, have dipped, polling shows, as his government’s handling of the economy fails to impress voters ahead of the November election. The RNZ-Reid Research poll, released on Monday, also found a growing number of people felt that New Zealand was heading in the wrong direction. Luxon slid two points to 17.3% in the preferred prime minister stakes – his lowest result across major polls since he became leader in 2023. Labour’s Chris Hipkins also dipped 0.4 points, to 20.7%. The prime minister’s net favourability – the difference between those who rate his performance as good versus poor – has also dropped from -14 in January to -20.6, his weakest result in the Reid Research series since he became National’s leader in 2021. Meanwhile, Luxon’s National party has slipped nearly five points behind the main opposition party, Labour. If an election were held today, the parliamentary left and rights blocs would face a hung parliament. Speaking to RNZ on Monday, Luxon said: “People don’t talk about polls. “Right now, I’m very much focused on navigating fuel supply challenges and minimising the impacts on Kiwis.” The poll, conducted in mid-March during the escalating tensions in the Middle East and the global energy crisis, showed support for National dropping one point to 30.8%, while its coalition partners Act sat at 7% and New Zealand First on 10.6%. In the left bloc, Labour rose 0.6 points to 35.6%, the Greens were at 10.1% and Te Pāti Māori (the Māori party) on 3.2%. Of those surveyed, half of respondents said New Zealand was heading in the wrong direction – a four point increase since January – compared with 32.3% who thought the country was on the right track. A second Taxpayers’ Union Curia poll in March showed just 28.4% support for National triggering questions over Luxon’s leadership and forcing the prime minister to quell speculation he would step down. Polls during 2025 were often unfavourable towards Luxon and the coalition, which is unusual for a first-term government in New Zealand. Should November’s general election reflect the polls, it would mark the first time a first-term government has failed to secure a second term since the introduction of the country’s mixed-member proportional parliamentary system in 1993. The coalition government campaigned on promises to fix New Zealand’s economy, which was battered by recession and stagnation after the Covid-19 pandemic, and introduced a wave of policies to try to achieve this recovery, including relaxing immigration settings to attract foreign investment and reducing public spending. But while there have been flickers of improvement, recovery has been slow. The economy grew just 0.2% in the December quarter, which was weaker than expectations and the war in the Middle East threatens to upend progress further. Ben Thomas, a political commentator, said the economy and the global conditions are the “biggest drag” on the coalition’s popularity. “This is the first long term cost-of-living crisis that we’ve had for a long time … One that falls much more evenly over the electorate and so it’s going to have a wider dispersion in terms of negatively impacting the voter sentiment.” Thomas said Luxon lacked the “charisma” of previous prime ministers. “He doesn’t have a buffer, the sort of personal charisma, that some of his predecessors – John Key and Jacinda Ardern – had,” Thomas said. “He’s not an exceptional generational performer in that sense, so his fortunes are much more directly exposed to what people are feeling every day in their hip pockets.”

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US warns Americans worldwide to show ‘increased caution’ – as it happened

This blog is closed. Thanks for following along. Our live coverage of the war continues here:

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Ukraine war briefing: Russia trying to ‘intensify’ attacks; US-Ukraine talks end

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Sunday the Russian army was attempting to “intensify” attacks on the front, but that Ukraine had inflicted heavy losses. “This week, we have observed attempts by the Russians to intensify their offensive efforts, taking advantage of more favourable weather conditions,” Zelenskyy said on social media after a meeting with Ukrainian army commander-in-chief Oleksandr Syrsky. But “the only tangible outcome for the Russian army has been an increase in their losses,” Zelenskyy said. Earlier on Sunday, the Russian defence ministry claimed its forces had taken control of Potapivka, a small village near the Russian border in Ukraine’s northern Sumy region. Ukrainian and US delegations concluded a second day of talks in Florida on finding ways to end the four-year war with Russia. Russian representatives were not present at the talks, which opened in Florida on Saturday. They were originally expected to attend the negotiations, which were due to take place in Abu Dhabi. Zelenskyy voiced hope on Sunday that the United States would keep up efforts to end the Russian invasion despite the US focus on attacking Iran, after envoys met in Florida. Steve Witkoff, Trump’s negotiator, reported unspecified progress during the two days of discussions, which came after the United States relaxed sanctions on Russian oil. “It’s clear that the primary focus of the American side at this time is the situation around Iran and in that region, but this war that Russia is waging against Ukraine must also be brought to an end,” Zelenskyy said in an evening address. Zelenskyy has said he has a “very bad feeling” about the impact of the war in the Middle East on the efforts to end the conflict in Ukraine and on defending his country while it remains ongoing. The Ukrainian president also addressed the strain on the special relationship between the UK and US amid the Iran war, saying the history between the two nations is “stronger than the emotions of two or three people”. He highlighted that Russian president Vladimir Putin “will want a long war” in the Middle East as it helps weaken Ukraine.

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Iran vows to destroy Middle East water and energy facilities if US attacks power plants

Tehran has said it will “irreversibly destroy” essential infrastructure across the Middle East, including vital water systems, if the US follows through on Donald Trump’s threat to “obliterate” Iran’s power plants unless the strait of Hormuz is fully opened within two days. As Iranian missiles struck two southern Israeli cities overnight, injuring dozens of people, and Tehran deployed long-range missiles for the first time, the developments signalled a dangerous potential escalation of the war, now in its fourth week, with both sides threatening facilities relied on by millions of people. The speaker of the Iranian parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said on Sunday that vital infrastructure in the region – including energy and desalination facilities – would be considered a legitimate target and would be “irreversibly destroyed” if his country’s own infrastructure was attacked. Amnesty International said this month there was a substantial risk that attacks on systems providing essential services such as electricity, heating and running water would violate international law and “in some cases could amount to war crimes” because of the potential for “vast, predictable, and devastating civilian harm”. The Iranian military’s operational command headquarters, Khatam al-Anbiya, said Iran would strike “all energy, information technology and desalination infrastructure” belonging to the US and Israel in the region. The statement also said that if Trump’s threat was carried out, the strait of Hormuz would be “completely closed, and will not be reopened until our destroyed power plants are rebuilt”. Iran’s president, Masoud Pezeshkian, said “threats and terror” were “only strengthening Iranian unity”, while the “illusion of erasing Iran from the map” showed “desperation against the will of a history-making nation”. The US president said on Saturday that he was giving Iran 48 hours – until shortly before midnight GMT on Monday – to open the strait of Hormuz, a vital pathway for the world’s oil flows, or the US would “hit and obliterate” Iranian power plants “starting with the biggest one first”. The US ambassador to the UN, Mike Waltz, defended Trump’s threat on Sunday, insisting that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) controlled much of the country’s infrastructure and used it to power its war effort. He said Trump would start by destroying one of Iran’s largest power plants, but did not identify it. “There are gas-fired thermal power plants and other type of plants,” and “the president is not messing around”, he said. A No 10 spokesperson said Keir Starmer spoke to Trump on Sunday evening about the need to reopen the strait of Hormuz. Iran’s representative to the International Maritime Organisation, Ali Mousavi, said on Sunday that the strait was open to all shipping except vessels linked to “Iran’s enemies”, with passage possible by coordinating security arrangements with Tehran. Iranian attacks have in effect closed the narrow strait, which carries about a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies, causing the world’s worst oil crisis since the 1970s and sending European gas prices surging by as much as 35% last week. Only a relatively small number of vessels, estimated at about 5% of the prewar volume, from countries that Tehran considers friendly – including China, India and Pakistan – have been allowed to pass. More than 2,000 people have been killed in Iran since 28 February, when the US and Israel began their attacks, and Tehran in turn has struck targets in Israel and the Gulf states. Lebanon was drawn in after Iran-backed Hezbollah attacked Israel. Air raid sirens sounded across Israel from the early hours of Sunday morning, warning of incoming missiles from Iran after scores of people were injured overnight in two separate attacks on the southern towns of Arad and Dimona. The Israeli army said on Sunday morning that it would strike Tehran in retaliation. The country’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, said during a visit to Arad that senior IRGC commanders would be pursued. “We’re going after the regime. We’re going after the IRGC, this criminal gang,” he said. “We’re going after them personally, their leaders, their installations, their economic assets.” The Iranian health ministry spokesperson, Hossein Kermanpour, said patients had been evacuated from the Imam Ali hospital in the south-west city of Andimeshk on Sunday after an airstrike a day earlier. Israel’s military said it had not been able to intercept the missiles that hit Dimona and Arad, the nearest large towns to the country’s nuclear centre in the Negev desert, which houses what is widely believed to be the Middle East’s only nuclear arsenal. Israel has never admitted to possessing nuclear weapons, insisting that the site is for research. The strikes marked the first time that Iranian missiles had penetrated Israel’s air defence systems in the area. The strikes wounded about 200 people, including a 12-year-old boy and a five-year-old girl, both reported to be in a serious condition. The Israeli broadcaster Channel 13 reported early indications of possible deaths but there was no official confirmation. Iran said the attacks had been launched in response to a strike on its main nuclear enrichment facility at Natanz on Saturday. Israel denied responsibility for the attack and the Pentagon declined to comment. In Tel Aviv, 15 more people were injured on Sunday morning in a separate incident involving a cluster bomb. The attacks are adding to mounting pressure on Israel’s air defence systems as Iranian strikes increasingly test their limits. The World Health Organization said that the war was at a “perilous stage” and called for restraint. “Attacks targeting nuclear sites create an escalating threat to public health and environmental safety,” the WHO director general, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, said. Tehran also fired long-range missiles for the first time on Saturday, the Israeli military chief, Eyal Zamir, said. Two ballistic missiles with a range of 2,500 miles (4,000km) were fired at the US-British Indian Ocean military base at Diego Garcia, he said. The British cabinet minister Steve Reed said one missile had fallen short and the other had been intercepted. There was no assessment backing claims that Iran was planning to strike Europe, he said. The Israel Defense Forces had said Iran had missiles that could reach London, Paris or Berlin, but Reed said he was not aware of any assessment at all that Iran was even trying to target Europe, “let alone that they could if they tried”. He said in a separate interview that Trump had been “speaking for himself” when he threatened to obliterate Iran’s power plants. Asked about Israel’s claims, Nato chief Mark Rutte said: “We cannot confirm that [Israel’s claims] at the moment. We are looking into that. “What we know for sure is that they are very close to having that capability.” Analysts said Trump’s threat had placed “a 48-hour ticking timebomb of elevated uncertainty” over energy and financial markets, with a “black Monday” of plunging stock markets and surging energy prices looming unless it was rowed back. At least six overnight attacks targeted a US diplomatic and logistics centre at Baghdad airport, Iraqi officials said, while Saudi Arabia said three missiles had been detected over Riyadh. The UAE said it had responded to Iranian missile and drone attacks. In southern Lebanon, Israel said its military had raided Hezbollah sites on Sunday and killed 10 of the group’s fighters. It said it was expanding its ground campaign in Lebanon, warning of a lengthy operation. Hezbollah said it had attacked several border areas in northern Israel. One person was killed in an Israeli kibbutz, emergency services said. At least 10 Palestinians were injured on Sunday night in attacks in the occupied West Bank by Israeli settlers who rampaged through nearby villages after holding a funeral for a settler killed in a car crash a night earlier. Videos obtained by the Associated Press appeared to show cars and homes set ablaze as army flares lit up the sky near the village east of Nablus and next to the Israeli settlement of Elon Moreh. Three Turkish nationals, including a soldier, and three Qatari service personnel were killed when a helicopter crashed in Qatar’s territorial waters, the country’s defence ministry said on Sunday. According to an academic analysis seen by Reuters, an interceptor missile that injured dozens of civilians in Bahrain 10 days into the war was probably fired by a US-operated Patriot air defence battery. Manama and Washington have blamed an Iranian drone attack for the explosion on 9 March, which Bahrain has said injured 32 people including children, some of them seriously.

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Slovenia goes to polls in election marked by claims of anti-Romany rhetoric

Campaigners in Slovenia warned of a surge in anti-Romany rhetoric as the country headed to the polls on Sunday, leaving many bracing for the outcome of a vote that has become, in part, a referendum on how the country treats its most marginalised. In Sunday’s vote, the prime minister, Robert Golob, of the centre-left Freedom Movement party, faced off against the rightwing populist and Donald Trump ally Janez Janša. Preliminary results on Sunday evening showed liberals and opposition rightwing populists were neck and neck, heralding a period of political uncertainty in the small EU country. Both Golob’s and Janša’s parties won a little over 28% of the vote, the state election commission said after counting 97% of the ballots. In the months leading up to the elections, much of the focus has been on access to public services, including healthcare, and accusations of graft. Questions of social policy have also threaded through the campaign, with campaigners accusing both Golob and Janša of scapegoating the country’s Romany minority. Golob’s government was accused last year of treating Romany people as a security threat, while Janša, athree-time former prime minister, has claimed they benefit from a double standard when it comes to rights and equality. “We Roma are facing two evils here in the election,” said Zvonko Golobič, who heads the Association for the Development of the Roma Community in the south-eastern town of Črnomelj. “So the question is: who is less evil?” Slovenia’s population of about 2.1 million includes an estimated 12,000 Roma. Many are singularly vulnerable: in 2020, Amnesty International said that life expectancy for Roma in Slovenia was 22 years lower than the rest of the population, and infant mortality more than four times higher. Several communities in the country continue to lack access to clean drinking water, electricity and sanitation as well as basic infrastructure and essential services. The election – and the discourse about Roma that has swirled in previous months – has left many worried that the community’s rights will be further eroded, said Haris Tahirović, the president of an umbrella group representing Romany communities across the country. “At this moment Roma are really afraid of who will come to power, what the political options will be, and what will happen after the elections,” he said. In November, the government passed a law that, in the view of campaigners, turned some Romany neighbourhoods into “security zones” by giving police power to enter homes in so-called “high-risk” areas and conduct raids without a warrant. The “Šutar law” was introduced after the death of Aleš Šutar, who was killed in an altercation linked to members of the Romany community. While Golob has said the measures are not aimed at “any particular ethnic group but against crime itself”, critics including Amnesty International have said they disproportionately affect the Romany community. Esther Major, Amnesty’s deputy director for research in Europe, said in a statement last November: “While not explicitly aimed at the Roma population, the vitriolic rhetoric used by the government to justify these measures raises serious fears that they would be deployed arbitrarily and discriminatorily against the Roma population. “Coupled with the security crackdown, punitive restrictions on social benefits could further penalise the most marginalised families.” Tahirović said it was little coincidence that Golob introduced the law in the run-up to the election. “He used it to scapegoat Roma because he recognised Roma as the easiest target to attack in order to save his place as prime minister,” he said. Even so, campaigners said it was likely that Janša – an ally of Hungary’s Viktor Orbán, whose previous term in power was marked by attacks on media and migrants – would leave the community worse off. “He would be even more radical,” said Golobič, who is standing as a candidate for the newly formed We, Socialists! party, which is expected to receive about 1% of the vote in the election. “The stakes are high.” Before Sunday’s election, Janša suggested he would push for harsher sentences for Roma and potentially increase the number of areas designated “high risk”, meaning more Romany settlements could be targeted by security measures. Janša has also vowed to cut funding for civil society, a move that could hinder the ability of the Romany community to organise and speak up about issues that affect them. Tahirović said: “We’re not asking for anything other than to be an equal part of this society.” The election contest has heated up in recent weeks, after leaked audio and video recordings purporting to expose government corruption were published on an anonymous website. Golob has denied the claims. This week an investigation alleged that Janša met individuals in December linked to the Israeli spy company Black Cube, sparking questions as to whether the agency, best known for working with Harvey Weinstein to allegedly quash reporting on allegations of sexual misconduct, was behind the anonymous website. Janša has denied any wrongdoing. Commentators have warned that the polarising campaign, pitting the populist Janša against Golob, the centre-left incumbent, has left the country at a crossroads. Robert Botteri, an editor at the magazine Mladina, told Reuters: “These are … perhaps the most important elections ever in Slovenia because they will decide if Slovenia remains a democratic welfare state or it aligns with illiberal democracies.”